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    "result": {"data":{"platform":{"post":{"id":"6a6c03ca1706b315d8b671ff","name":"Copper Weekly Brief - Week ending 31 July 2026","slug":"copper-weekly-brief-week-ending-31-july-2026","typeLabel":"Industry Briefing","badge":null,"path":"/posts/copper-weekly-brief-week-ending-31-july-2026","updated":"2026-07-31T02:19:11.00","__typename":"Platform_Post","_schema":{"label":"Post","pluralLabel":"Posts"},"title":null,"pretitle":null,"subtitle":null,"published":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.00","content":{"plain":"Copper remained elevated through the week ending 31 July, supported by tight mine supply, constrained concentrate availability and resilient long-term demand linked to electrification, grid investment and digital infrastructure. At the same time, war-related macro pressures, tariff uncertainty and uneven regional growth kept sentiment volatile and reinforced the view that copper is being shaped by both structural tightness and short-term macro risk.\nMarket setting\nCopper stayed firm through the week ending 31 July, although trading remained within a consolidation range rather than resuming the sharp rally seen earlier in 2026. Trading Economics showed copper near 6.0 US$/lb in late July, while LME official pricing remained in the mid-US$13,000s per tonne, keeping the market close to the elevated range that has defined much of July.\nExpressed in website terms, that places copper at roughly US$13.2–13.7/kg, equivalent to about US$13,200–13,700/t, depending on the benchmark and day used. This keeps copper near the top of the elevated range established through July and reinforces the view that prices remain historically strong, despite some recent consolidation.\nThe market continues to be supported by structural supply tightness and resilient long-term demand, even as macro volatility and trade-policy uncertainty drive short-term fluctuations. That combination remains central to the copper story: the fundamentals are constructive, but the path higher is unlikely to be smooth.\nMacro pressure\nThe macro backdrop remains difficult for industrial metals, with war-related instability adding to uncertainty around energy, trade and investment. Higher geopolitical risk can weaken confidence around near-term industrial growth even while reinforcing the strategic importance of metals needed for electrification and energy security.\nWood Mackenzie’s 2026 outlook says the year has been defined by “twists, turns and transitions”. That description fits copper particularly well, as the market continues to trade on both strategic scarcity and macro fragility at the same time.\nUS trade policy remains an important variable. Ongoing uncertainty around Section 232 tariffs has continued to distort copper flows and pricing, particularly through the spread between COMEX and the LME.\nRegional signals\nThe United States remains the clearest source of price distortion. Earlier tariff expectations drove COMEX copper sharply above the LME benchmark, encouraging metal to move into the US and tightening availability elsewhere. Even though spreads have narrowed from earlier extremes, policy risk is still a major part of the copper price story.\nChina remains mixed rather than decisively weak, which is still broadly supportive for copper. The latest pattern of softer growth but ongoing inventory drawdowns is more consistent with moderated industrial activity than with a sharp contraction, which helps explain why copper has remained resilient despite uneven macro data.\nOn the supply side, Chile continues to anchor the market narrative. Chilean output has been weaker not simply because of one-off disruption, but because several large operations are dealing with lower ore grades, difficult mine transitions and a high base of comparison from stronger prior periods. Reuters reported that Chile’s April output fell 13.8 percent year on year, with official data pointing to low ore grades at major producers, while Trading Economics said May output fell a further 12.9 percent year on year to 423,623 tonnes.\nPrice structure\nCopper remains high in both historical and strategic terms. Trading Economics indicated pricing near current levels with a forecast of 6.35 US$/lb by the end of the current quarter and 6.96 US$/lb in 12 months, which converts to roughly US$14.0/kg and US$15.3/kg respectively, implying further price gains from current levels rather than a return to long-run averages.\nCross-market spreads remain critical to understanding present price behaviour. Earlier in the year, the COMEX-LME spread widened to more than US$2,900/t during the peak of tariff-driven stress, and although it later narrowed, it remained wide enough to keep drawing copper into the US. That helps explain why inventories outside the American market have remained comparatively tight.\nThe disparity between forecasts also remains important. Some market views emphasise near-term macro softness and the risk of temporary surplus conditions, while Wood Mackenzie and other structural analysts continue to stress underinvestment, declining grades and long project lead times. That difference is less a contradiction than a matter of time horizon: cyclical softness can coexist with a structurally tight medium-term market.\nSupply and demand\nThe core supply-demand picture still points to a tight market. Falling Chilean output, weak concentrate treatment charges and tighter exchange inventories outside the United States all support the argument that mine and concentrate availability remain the principal constraints.\nThis is why copper has remained historically strong even without a clean macro backdrop. In practical terms, the market is still being supported by constrained physical supply and strategic demand growth tied to electrification, power infrastructure and digital systems.\nOverall, copper remains supported by tight mine supply, weaker output from key producers such as Chile, and resilient long-term demand linked to electrification and grid investment. Even with macro volatility, tariff uncertainty and war-related pressures weighing on sentiment, the broader market backdrop remains constructive.\nConnectOre\nConnectOre remains highly relevant in this environment because the industry’s challenge is no longer just to find copper, but to deliver it faster, more efficiently and with lower emissions. As the ICAA website states, the platform aggregates knowledge and provides insights on technology and emerging research to help address key industry challenges, including zero-emission mining. In a market defined by supply constraints and rising strategic demand, that makes ConnectOre a practical platform for accelerating innovation, collaboration and better project outcomes across the copper ecosystem.\nGo to: https://connectore.org\n","text":"\nCopper remained elevated through the week ending 31 July, supported by tight mine supply, constrained concentrate availability and resilient long-term demand linked to electrification, grid investment and digital infrastructure. At the same time, war-related macro pressures, tariff uncertainty and uneven regional growth kept sentiment volatile and reinforced the view that copper is being shaped by both structural tightness and short-term macro risk.\n\n**Market setting**\n\nCopper stayed firm through the week ending 31 July, although trading remained within a consolidation range rather than resuming the sharp rally seen earlier in 2026. Trading Economics showed copper near 6.0 US$/lb in late July, while LME official pricing remained in the mid-US$13,000s per tonne, keeping the market close to the elevated range that has defined much of July.\n\nExpressed in website terms, that places copper at roughly US$13.2–13.7/kg, equivalent to about US$13,200–13,700/t, depending on the benchmark and day used. This keeps copper near the top of the elevated range established through July and reinforces the view that prices remain historically strong, despite some recent consolidation.\n\nThe market continues to be supported by structural supply tightness and resilient long-term demand, even as macro volatility and trade-policy uncertainty drive short-term fluctuations. That combination remains central to the copper story: the fundamentals are constructive, but the path higher is unlikely to be smooth.\n\n**Macro pressure**\n\nThe macro backdrop remains difficult for industrial metals, with war-related instability adding to uncertainty around energy, trade and investment. Higher geopolitical risk can weaken confidence around near-term industrial growth even while reinforcing the strategic importance of metals needed for electrification and energy security.\n\nWood Mackenzie’s 2026 outlook says the year has been defined by “twists, turns and transitions”. That description fits copper particularly well, as the market continues to trade on both strategic scarcity and macro fragility at the same time.\n\nUS trade policy remains an important variable. Ongoing uncertainty around Section 232 tariffs has continued to distort copper flows and pricing, particularly through the spread between COMEX and the LME.\nRegional signals\n\nThe United States remains the clearest source of price distortion. Earlier tariff expectations drove COMEX copper sharply above the LME benchmark, encouraging metal to move into the US and tightening availability elsewhere. Even though spreads have narrowed from earlier extremes, policy risk is still a major part of the copper price story.\n\nChina remains mixed rather than decisively weak, which is still broadly supportive for copper. The latest pattern of softer growth but ongoing inventory drawdowns is more consistent with moderated industrial activity than with a sharp contraction, which helps explain why copper has remained resilient despite uneven macro data.\n\nOn the supply side, Chile continues to anchor the market narrative. Chilean output has been weaker not simply because of one-off disruption, but because several large operations are dealing with lower ore grades, difficult mine transitions and a high base of comparison from stronger prior periods. Reuters reported that Chile’s April output fell 13.8 percent year on year, with official data pointing to low ore grades at major producers, while Trading Economics said May output fell a further 12.9 percent year on year to 423,623 tonnes.\n\n**Price structure**\n\nCopper remains high in both historical and strategic terms. Trading Economics indicated pricing near current levels with a forecast of 6.35 US$/lb by the end of the current quarter and 6.96 US$/lb in 12 months, which converts to roughly US$14.0/kg and US$15.3/kg respectively, implying further price gains from current levels rather than a return to long-run averages.\n\nCross-market spreads remain critical to understanding present price behaviour. Earlier in the year, the COMEX-LME spread widened to more than US$2,900/t during the peak of tariff-driven stress, and although it later narrowed, it remained wide enough to keep drawing copper into the US. That helps explain why inventories outside the American market have remained comparatively tight.\n\nThe disparity between forecasts also remains important. Some market views emphasise near-term macro softness and the risk of temporary surplus conditions, while Wood Mackenzie and other structural analysts continue to stress underinvestment, declining grades and long project lead times. That difference is less a contradiction than a matter of time horizon: cyclical softness can coexist with a structurally tight medium-term market.\n\n**Supply and demand**\n\nThe core supply-demand picture still points to a tight market. Falling Chilean output, weak concentrate treatment charges and tighter exchange inventories outside the United States all support the argument that mine and concentrate availability remain the principal constraints.\n\nThis is why copper has remained historically strong even without a clean macro backdrop. In practical terms, the market is still being supported by constrained physical supply and strategic demand growth tied to electrification, power infrastructure and digital systems.\n\nOverall, copper remains supported by tight mine supply, weaker output from key producers such as Chile, and resilient long-term demand linked to electrification and grid investment. Even with macro volatility, tariff uncertainty and war-related pressures weighing on sentiment, the broader market backdrop remains constructive.\n\n**ConnectOre**\n\nConnectOre remains highly relevant in this environment because the industry’s challenge is no longer just to find copper, but to deliver it faster, more efficiently and with lower emissions. As the ICAA website states, the platform aggregates knowledge and provides insights on technology and emerging research to help address key industry challenges, including zero-emission mining. In a market defined by supply constraints and rising strategic demand, that makes ConnectOre a practical platform for accelerating innovation, collaboration and better project outcomes across the copper ecosystem.\nGo to: https://connectore.org\n\n"},"openGraph":{"title":null,"description":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 31 July 2026\n"},"image":{"thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1785463908/copper-connect/banner/copper-weekly-brief-31072026_image__Cu_Weekly_Brief_31072026_fe4hm0.png"}}}},"intro":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 31 July 2026\n","text":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 31 July 2026"},"outro":{"id":"6a6c03ca1706b315d8b671ff_outro","text":""},"videos":[],"imageAssets":[],"organisations":[],"people":[],"embeds":{"citations":[],"pages":[],"people":[],"imageAssets":[]},"banners":[{"id":"6a6c04a91706b315d8b67204","name":"Copper Weekly Brief 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We want to ensure that you get the information, content, and experiences that matter most to you. ConnectOre is committed to protecting the privacy of its stakeholders, communities, and other contacts.\n\n## Scope\n\nThis privacy policy applies to all personal data processed by full-time and part-time employees, volunteers when acting on behalf of ConnectOre contractors and partners doing business on behalf of ConnectOre, as well as all legal entities, all operating locations in all countries, and all business processes conducted by ConnectOre.\n\n## Information Collected\n\n#### What information do we collect?\n\nConnectOre collects the following personal data in line with the use purposes explained in a subsequent section:\n\n  * Your name and contact details\n  * Online profile data/usage\n  * Contact information\n  * Social media profile information\n  * Education and professional information\n  * Registration and participation in ConnectOre events and activities \n  * Information about service usage\n  * Cookies\n  * Authentication data\n  * Location information\n  * Author and peer review information\n  * Other information you upload or provide to us\n\n#### How do we use your information?\n\nConnectOre uses (and, where specified, shares) your personal information for the following purposes:\n\n  * To provide support or other services. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with support or other services that you have ordered or requested. ConnectOre may also use your personal information to respond directly to your requests for information, including registrations for webinars, or other specific requests, or pass your contact information to the appropriate ConnectOre supplier or reseller for further follow-up related to your interests.\n  * To provide information based on your needs and respond to your requests. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with notices of new product releases and service developments.\n  * To administer products. ConnectOre may contact you if you make use of (digital) products we offer, to confirm certain information (for example, that you did not experience problems in a download process). We may also use this information to confirm compliance with licensing and other terms of use and may share it with your company/institution.\n  * To assist in your participation in ConnectOre activities. ConnectOre will communicate with you, if you are participating in certain ConnectOre activities such as ConnectOre Summit, authoring or reviewing a ConnectOre article, or ConnectOre humanitarian activities. ConnectOre may send you information such as update messages related to those activities (such as but not limited to the event's content, and event logistics)\n  * To update you on relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities. ConnectOre may communicate with you regarding relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities.\n  * To protect ConnectOre content and services. We may use your information to prevent potentially illegal activities and to enforce our terms and conditions.\n  * To get feedback or input from you. In order to deliver products and services of most interest to our stakeholders, from time to time, we may ask you to provide us input and feedback (for example through surveys).\n\n#### How can you control your information?\n\nYou can control the information we have about you and how we use as follows:\n\n  * If you are a registered guest for ConnectOre Annual Summit 2021, any request for review, revise or correction of your personal data can be sent to john.fennell@copper.com.au specifying your request.\n\n#### Personal data about minors and children\n\nConnectOre does not knowingly collect data from or about children under 16 without the permission of parent(s)/guardian(s). If we learn that we have collected personal information from a child under 16, we will delete that information as quickly as possible. If you believe that we might have any information from or about a child under age 16, please contact us.\n\n#### How will you know if the Privacy Policy is changed?\n\nConnectOre may update its Privacy Policy from time to time. If we make any material changes you will be notified by means of a notice on our website prior on the date the change becomes effective. We encourage you to periodically review this page for the latest information on our privacy practices.\n\n## Technical And Regulatory Information\n\n#### Logging practices\n\nConnectOre automatically records the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of visitors. The IP address is a unique number assigned to every computer on the internet. Generally, an IP address changes each time you connect to the internet (it is a \"dynamic\" address). Note, however, that if you have a broadband connection, depending on your individual circumstance, the IP address that we collect may contain information that could be deemed identifiable. This is because, with some broadband connections, your IP address doesn't change (it is \"static\") and could be associated with your personal computer.\n\nAs well as recording the IP addresses of users, ConnectOre may also keep track of sites that users visited immediately prior to visiting ConnectOre's website and the search terms they used to find it. We keep track of the pages visited on ConnectOre's website, the amount of time spent on those pages and the types of searches done on them. Your searches remain confidential and anonymous. ConnectOre uses this information only for statistical purposes to find out which pages users find most useful and to improve the website.\nConnectOre also captures and stores information that you transmit. This may include:\n\n  * Browser/Device type/version\n  * Operating system used\n  * Media Access Control (MAC) address\n  * Date and time of the server request\n  * Volume of data transferred\n\n#### External links behaviour\n\nSome of the links on ConnectOre's websites link to other sites created and maintained by other public- and/or private-sector organizations. ConnectOre provides these links solely for your information and convenience. When you transfer to an outside website, you are leaving ConnectOre domain, and ConnectOre's information management policies no longer apply. ConnectOre encourages you to read the privacy statement of each external website that you visit before you provide any personal data.\n\n#### Cookies and web beacons\n\nCookies and web beacons are electronic placeholders that are placed on your device by websites to track your individual movements on that website over time. ConnectOre uses both session-based cookies (which last only for the duration of the user's session) and persistent cookies (which remain on your device and provide information about the session you are in and waits for the next time you use that site again).\n\nThese cookies and web beacons provide useful information to ConnectOre, enabling us to recognize repeat users, facilitate the user's access to and use of our sites, allows us to track usage behavior, and to balance the usage of our websites on all ConnectOre web servers.\nTracking cookies, third-party cookies, and other technologies such as web beacons may be used to process additional information, enable non-core functionalities on ConnectOre website and enable third-party functions (such as a social media \"share\" link). We may also include web beacons and other similar technology in promotional email messages to determine whether the messages have been opened.\n\n#### Do Not Track (DNT)\n\nThe online advertising industry has self-regulatory initiatives designed to provide consumers a choice in the types of ads they may see online and to conveniently opt-out from online behavioral ads served by some or all of the companies participating in these programs. Our websites do not respond to DNT consumer browser settings.\n\n#### Responses to legal requests\n\nConnectOre reserves the right to share your information to respond to duly authorized information requests of governmental authorities or where required by law.\n\n#### Your data rights\n\nConnectOre complies with all applicable data privacy laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Under these laws and regulations, you may have certain rights to your data. Should you wish to exercise any of these rights, please send an email request to john.fennell@copper.com.au with \"Data Privacy Request'' in the subject line and in the email please identify the specific privacy right you request assistance with. Please note additional information may be requested prior to fulfilling a request and that ConnectOre reserves the right to charge a fee, where permitted, to cover the cost of certain requests.\n\n#### How do I contact you if there is an issue?\nIf you have any questions or concerns about this Privacy Policy or about the use of your personal information, please feel free to contact us by email at john.fennell@copper.com.au"},"welcomeUrl":"https://connectore.org/app/welcome","welcomeTitle":"Welcome to ConnectOre and thanks for joining us! 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