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Trading Economics showed copper at about US$13.85/kg, equivalent to roughly US$13,850/t, on 24 July, while the ICAA website listed “Copper Today” at US$13,895/t on 23 July, keeping prices close to the elevated range that has defined much of July.\nThe broad tone remains constructive, but not one-directional. Copper is still supported by constrained supply and durable long-term demand linked to power networks, electrification and digital infrastructure, but price action is being tempered by geopolitics, energy costs and trade-policy distortions.\nMacro pressure\nThe Iran war has added a fresh macro headwind to industrial metals by increasing energy risk and weakening confidence around near-term industrial growth. The direct effect on copper has been less dramatic than in oil markets, but the broader consequence is still important: higher energy costs can weigh on manufacturing and processing activity even while supply-side concerns keep metal markets fundamentally tight.\nWood Mackenzie’s mid-year outlook says 2026 has been defined by “twists, turns and transitions” and expects that pattern to continue through the second half, with geopolitics and cautious investment remaining central themes for metals and mining. That framing fits copper particularly well this week, as the market continues to trade on both strategic scarcity and macro fragility at the same time.\nRegional signals\nThe United States remains the clearest source of market distortion. Reuters reported earlier that tariff expectations drove Comex copper sharply above the LME benchmark, while UBS says continuing uncertainty around Section 232 tariffs is still drawing material into the US and tightening availability elsewhere. As a result, copper pricing is still reflecting policy risk and inventory relocation as much as underlying consumption.\nChina remains mixed rather than decisively weak, which is still broadly supportive for copper. UBS says Chinese demand has improved from a slow start to the year, reflected in declining SHFE inventories and stronger willingness to pay for imports, though import trends remain uneven and softer GDP data show the recovery is incomplete. Wood Mackenzie similarly argues that China’s demand is softening quietly rather than catastrophically, which is a more constructive interpretation for copper than a straight downturn narrative.\nChile, meanwhile, continues to anchor the supply-side story. UBS says Chilean copper output fell 8.8 percent year on year to 2.04 million tonnes in the January to May period, reinforcing the wider market concern that global mine supply is not responding quickly enough to stronger long-run demand. \nPrice structure\nCopper remains high in both historical and strategic terms. Trading Economics showed pricing at about US$13.85/kg or US$13,850/t on 24 July, while the ICAA site showed US$13,895/t one day earlier using LME official prices. That keeps copper well above long-run norms and consistent with the elevated levels highlighted in recent weekly briefs on www.copper.com.au.\nCross-market spreads remain critical to understanding current price behaviour. UBS says the COMEX-LME spread widened again from late June to around US$450/t, after earlier peaking above US$2,900/t during the height of tariff-driven stress. That premium continues to incentivise copper flows into the US and helps explain why inventories outside the American market remain comparatively tight.\nSupply and demand\nThe core supply-demand picture still points to a structurally tight market. UBS says it expects a global refined copper deficit of 520,000 tonnes in 2026, with demand still outpacing supply despite cyclical macro headwinds. The same note says SHFE inventories have fallen by 258,870 tonnes since end-March and LME inventories are also lower, even as COMEX stocks have risen strongly in anticipation of tariffs.\nMine supply remains the principal constraint. UBS says lower Chilean production and extremely weak concentrate treatment charges in China underline how strained the concentrate market has become, while Wood Mackenzie says years of underinvestment, declining ore grades and long project lead times continue to limit supply responsiveness even at high prices. Wood Mackenzie also argues that the real bottleneck in 2026 is custom concentrate rather than mine supply alone, which helps explain why smelter margins and feed availability have become such important market signals.\nLonger term, Wood Mackenzie sees copper demand as increasingly tied to structural themes rather than a standard commodity cycle. It points to electrification, power infrastructure and regional stockbuilding as enduring supports for demand, even against a backdrop of softer macro data from China and elsewhere. That reinforces the idea that short-term volatility should be viewed within a market that still has a strong strategic demand base.\nConnectOre focus\nConnectOre remains highly relevant in this environment because the industry’s challenge is no longer just to find copper, but to deliver it faster, more efficiently and with lower emissions. As the ICAA website states, the platform aggregates knowledge and provides insights on technology and emerging research to help address key industry challenges, including zero-emission mining. In a market defined by supply constraints and rising strategic demand, that makes ConnectOre a practical platform for accelerating innovation, collaboration and better project outcomes across the copper ecosystem.\nGo to: https://connectore.org  \n","text":"\n\n**Market setting**\n\nCopper remained firm through the week ending 24 July, although trading stayed within a consolidation range rather than resuming the sharp rally seen earlier in 2026. Trading Economics showed copper at about US$13.85/kg, equivalent to roughly US$13,850/t, on 24 July, while the ICAA website listed “Copper Today” at US$13,895/t on 23 July, keeping prices close to the elevated range that has defined much of July.\nThe broad tone remains constructive, but not one-directional. Copper is still supported by constrained supply and durable long-term demand linked to power networks, electrification and digital infrastructure, but price action is being tempered by geopolitics, energy costs and trade-policy distortions.\n\n**Macro pressure**\n\nThe Iran war has added a fresh macro headwind to industrial metals by increasing energy risk and weakening confidence around near-term industrial growth. The direct effect on copper has been less dramatic than in oil markets, but the broader consequence is still important: higher energy costs can weigh on manufacturing and processing activity even while supply-side concerns keep metal markets fundamentally tight.\n\nWood Mackenzie’s mid-year outlook says 2026 has been defined by “twists, turns and transitions” and expects that pattern to continue through the second half, with geopolitics and cautious investment remaining central themes for metals and mining. That framing fits copper particularly well this week, as the market continues to trade on both strategic scarcity and macro fragility at the same time.\n\n**Regional signals**\n\nThe United States remains the clearest source of market distortion. Reuters reported earlier that tariff expectations drove Comex copper sharply above the LME benchmark, while UBS says continuing uncertainty around Section 232 tariffs is still drawing material into the US and tightening availability elsewhere. As a result, copper pricing is still reflecting policy risk and inventory relocation as much as underlying consumption.\n\nChina remains mixed rather than decisively weak, which is still broadly supportive for copper. UBS says Chinese demand has improved from a slow start to the year, reflected in declining SHFE inventories and stronger willingness to pay for imports, though import trends remain uneven and softer GDP data show the recovery is incomplete. Wood Mackenzie similarly argues that China’s demand is softening quietly rather than catastrophically, which is a more constructive interpretation for copper than a straight downturn narrative.\n\nChile, meanwhile, continues to anchor the supply-side story. UBS says Chilean copper output fell 8.8 percent year on year to 2.04 million tonnes in the January to May period, reinforcing the wider market concern that global mine supply is not responding quickly enough to stronger long-run demand. \n\n**Price structure**\n\nCopper remains high in both historical and strategic terms. Trading Economics showed pricing at about US$13.85/kg or US$13,850/t on 24 July, while the ICAA site showed US$13,895/t one day earlier using LME official prices. That keeps copper well above long-run norms and consistent with the elevated levels highlighted in recent weekly briefs on www.copper.com.au.\n\nCross-market spreads remain critical to understanding current price behaviour. UBS says the COMEX-LME spread widened again from late June to around US$450/t, after earlier peaking above US$2,900/t during the height of tariff-driven stress. That premium continues to incentivise copper flows into the US and helps explain why inventories outside the American market remain comparatively tight.\n\n\n**Supply and demand**\n\nThe core supply-demand picture still points to a structurally tight market. UBS says it expects a global refined copper deficit of 520,000 tonnes in 2026, with demand still outpacing supply despite cyclical macro headwinds. The same note says SHFE inventories have fallen by 258,870 tonnes since end-March and LME inventories are also lower, even as COMEX stocks have risen strongly in anticipation of tariffs.\n\nMine supply remains the principal constraint. UBS says lower Chilean production and extremely weak concentrate treatment charges in China underline how strained the concentrate market has become, while Wood Mackenzie says years of underinvestment, declining ore grades and long project lead times continue to limit supply responsiveness even at high prices. Wood Mackenzie also argues that the real bottleneck in 2026 is custom concentrate rather than mine supply alone, which helps explain why smelter margins and feed availability have become such important market signals.\n\nLonger term, Wood Mackenzie sees copper demand as increasingly tied to structural themes rather than a standard commodity cycle. It points to electrification, power infrastructure and regional stockbuilding as enduring supports for demand, even against a backdrop of softer macro data from China and elsewhere. That reinforces the idea that short-term volatility should be viewed within a market that still has a strong strategic demand base.\n\n**ConnectOre focus**\n\nConnectOre remains highly relevant in this environment because the industry’s challenge is no longer just to find copper, but to deliver it faster, more efficiently and with lower emissions. As the ICAA website states, the platform aggregates knowledge and provides insights on technology and emerging research to help address key industry challenges, including zero-emission mining. In a market defined by supply constraints and rising strategic demand, that makes ConnectOre a practical platform for accelerating innovation, collaboration and better project outcomes across the copper ecosystem.\n\nGo to: https://connectore.org  \n"},"openGraph":{"title":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 24 July 2026","description":{"plain":"Copper ended the week near historically high levels as tight mine supply, falling exchange stocks outside the United States and resilient electrification demand continued to support the market. Against that, the Iran war, tariff uncertainty and uneven regional growth kept sentiment volatile and reinforced the view that copper is being driven by both structural tightness and short-term macro risk.\n"},"image":{"thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1784863349/copper-connect/banner/copper-weekly-brief-24072026_image__Cu_Brief_image_24072026_ildav4.png"}}}},"intro":{"plain":"Copper ended the week near historically high levels as tight mine supply, falling exchange stocks outside the United States and resilient electrification demand continued to support the market. Against that, the Iran war, tariff uncertainty and uneven regional growth kept sentiment volatile and reinforced the view that copper is being driven by both structural tightness and short-term macro risk.\n","text":"Copper ended the week near historically high levels as tight mine supply, falling exchange stocks outside the United States and resilient electrification demand continued to support the market. Against that, the Iran war, tariff uncertainty and uneven regional growth kept sentiment volatile and reinforced the view that copper is being driven by both structural tightness and short-term macro risk."},"outro":{"id":"6a62db994e9343090c8962da_outro","text":""},"videos":[],"imageAssets":[],"organisations":[],"people":[],"embeds":{"citations":[],"pages":[],"people":[],"imageAssets":[]},"banners":[{"id":"6a62da9c4e9343090c8962d7","name":"Copper Weekly brief 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We want to ensure that you get the information, content, and experiences that matter most to you. ConnectOre is committed to protecting the privacy of its stakeholders, communities, and other contacts.\n\n## Scope\n\nThis privacy policy applies to all personal data processed by full-time and part-time employees, volunteers when acting on behalf of ConnectOre contractors and partners doing business on behalf of ConnectOre, as well as all legal entities, all operating locations in all countries, and all business processes conducted by ConnectOre.\n\n## Information Collected\n\n#### What information do we collect?\n\nConnectOre collects the following personal data in line with the use purposes explained in a subsequent section:\n\n  * Your name and contact details\n  * Online profile data/usage\n  * Contact information\n  * Social media profile information\n  * Education and professional information\n  * Registration and participation in ConnectOre events and activities \n  * Information about service usage\n  * Cookies\n  * Authentication data\n  * Location information\n  * Author and peer review information\n  * Other information you upload or provide to us\n\n#### How do we use your information?\n\nConnectOre uses (and, where specified, shares) your personal information for the following purposes:\n\n  * To provide support or other services. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with support or other services that you have ordered or requested. ConnectOre may also use your personal information to respond directly to your requests for information, including registrations for webinars, or other specific requests, or pass your contact information to the appropriate ConnectOre supplier or reseller for further follow-up related to your interests.\n  * To provide information based on your needs and respond to your requests. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with notices of new product releases and service developments.\n  * To administer products. ConnectOre may contact you if you make use of (digital) products we offer, to confirm certain information (for example, that you did not experience problems in a download process). We may also use this information to confirm compliance with licensing and other terms of use and may share it with your company/institution.\n  * To assist in your participation in ConnectOre activities. ConnectOre will communicate with you, if you are participating in certain ConnectOre activities such as ConnectOre Summit, authoring or reviewing a ConnectOre article, or ConnectOre humanitarian activities. ConnectOre may send you information such as update messages related to those activities (such as but not limited to the event's content, and event logistics)\n  * To update you on relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities. ConnectOre may communicate with you regarding relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities.\n  * To protect ConnectOre content and services. We may use your information to prevent potentially illegal activities and to enforce our terms and conditions.\n  * To get feedback or input from you. In order to deliver products and services of most interest to our stakeholders, from time to time, we may ask you to provide us input and feedback (for example through surveys).\n\n#### How can you control your information?\n\nYou can control the information we have about you and how we use as follows:\n\n  * If you are a registered guest for ConnectOre Annual Summit 2021, any request for review, revise or correction of your personal data can be sent to john.fennell@copper.com.au specifying your request.\n\n#### Personal data about minors and children\n\nConnectOre does not knowingly collect data from or about children under 16 without the permission of parent(s)/guardian(s). If we learn that we have collected personal information from a child under 16, we will delete that information as quickly as possible. If you believe that we might have any information from or about a child under age 16, please contact us.\n\n#### How will you know if the Privacy Policy is changed?\n\nConnectOre may update its Privacy Policy from time to time. If we make any material changes you will be notified by means of a notice on our website prior on the date the change becomes effective. We encourage you to periodically review this page for the latest information on our privacy practices.\n\n## Technical And Regulatory Information\n\n#### Logging practices\n\nConnectOre automatically records the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of visitors. The IP address is a unique number assigned to every computer on the internet. Generally, an IP address changes each time you connect to the internet (it is a \"dynamic\" address). Note, however, that if you have a broadband connection, depending on your individual circumstance, the IP address that we collect may contain information that could be deemed identifiable. This is because, with some broadband connections, your IP address doesn't change (it is \"static\") and could be associated with your personal computer.\n\nAs well as recording the IP addresses of users, ConnectOre may also keep track of sites that users visited immediately prior to visiting ConnectOre's website and the search terms they used to find it. We keep track of the pages visited on ConnectOre's website, the amount of time spent on those pages and the types of searches done on them. Your searches remain confidential and anonymous. ConnectOre uses this information only for statistical purposes to find out which pages users find most useful and to improve the website.\nConnectOre also captures and stores information that you transmit. This may include:\n\n  * Browser/Device type/version\n  * Operating system used\n  * Media Access Control (MAC) address\n  * Date and time of the server request\n  * Volume of data transferred\n\n#### External links behaviour\n\nSome of the links on ConnectOre's websites link to other sites created and maintained by other public- and/or private-sector organizations. ConnectOre provides these links solely for your information and convenience. When you transfer to an outside website, you are leaving ConnectOre domain, and ConnectOre's information management policies no longer apply. ConnectOre encourages you to read the privacy statement of each external website that you visit before you provide any personal data.\n\n#### Cookies and web beacons\n\nCookies and web beacons are electronic placeholders that are placed on your device by websites to track your individual movements on that website over time. ConnectOre uses both session-based cookies (which last only for the duration of the user's session) and persistent cookies (which remain on your device and provide information about the session you are in and waits for the next time you use that site again).\n\nThese cookies and web beacons provide useful information to ConnectOre, enabling us to recognize repeat users, facilitate the user's access to and use of our sites, allows us to track usage behavior, and to balance the usage of our websites on all ConnectOre web servers.\nTracking cookies, third-party cookies, and other technologies such as web beacons may be used to process additional information, enable non-core functionalities on ConnectOre website and enable third-party functions (such as a social media \"share\" link). We may also include web beacons and other similar technology in promotional email messages to determine whether the messages have been opened.\n\n#### Do Not Track (DNT)\n\nThe online advertising industry has self-regulatory initiatives designed to provide consumers a choice in the types of ads they may see online and to conveniently opt-out from online behavioral ads served by some or all of the companies participating in these programs. Our websites do not respond to DNT consumer browser settings.\n\n#### Responses to legal requests\n\nConnectOre reserves the right to share your information to respond to duly authorized information requests of governmental authorities or where required by law.\n\n#### Your data rights\n\nConnectOre complies with all applicable data privacy laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Under these laws and regulations, you may have certain rights to your data. Should you wish to exercise any of these rights, please send an email request to john.fennell@copper.com.au with \"Data Privacy Request'' in the subject line and in the email please identify the specific privacy right you request assistance with. Please note additional information may be requested prior to fulfilling a request and that ConnectOre reserves the right to charge a fee, where permitted, to cover the cost of certain requests.\n\n#### How do I contact you if there is an issue?\nIf you have any questions or concerns about this Privacy Policy or about the use of your personal information, please feel free to contact us by email at john.fennell@copper.com.au"},"welcomeUrl":"https://connectore.org/app/welcome","welcomeTitle":"Welcome to ConnectOre and thanks for joining us! 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