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LME official prices in early July were still clustered around the low-13,000 USD/t range, while US benchmarks continued to trade at a premium, underlining the degree to which regional tightness, trade uncertainty and logistics continue to shape pricing across the market.\nMarket overview\nThe immediate tone in copper is firmer than it is euphoric. LME copper data for 8 July showed official prices around 13,307–13,360 USD/t, and Westmetall daily data similarly placed cash copper close to 13,090–13,169 USD/t across the first full week of July. Trading Economics meanwhile reported COMEX-linked copper at 6.20 USD/lb on 9 July, equivalent to roughly 13,670 USD/t, confirming that US pricing remains above the LME and continues to reflect domestic scarcity and tariff-related positioning.\nThat matters because the current market is not simply reacting to one headline. It is trading a broader mix of structural electrification demand, intermittent mine and smelter constraints, and policy distortion in the US market. The result is a copper market that still appears fundamentally tight even after the cooling of momentum that followed the record highs seen in January and May.\nSupply and demand\nAcross the major houses, the broad argument remains that refined copper fundamentals are tight into the end of 2026, even though the exact balance differs by forecaster. UBS continues to frame the market as being in deficit, with commentary pointing to a 2026 refined shortfall of roughly 520,000 tonnes and global demand growth of about 2.8 percent outpacing refined supply growth closer to 1.7–2.2 percent. J.P. Morgan has also stayed constructive, with Reuters reporting that the bank expects the global refined deficit to widen to around 160,000 tonnes in 2026 and copper prices to average about 11,000 USD/t over that period.\nOther institutions remain more cautious, but not enough to overturn the broader picture of a market with very limited slack. Reuters reported in April that Goldman Sachs maintained a 2026 average copper price forecast of 12,650 USD/t while also projecting a surplus of around 490,000 tonnes under its base assumptions. The International Copper Study Group has similarly highlighted that the balance can shift quickly depending on assumptions for mine output and refined production, and Reuters noted in May that copper’s current price level appears to be pricing scarcity even when exchange spreads and inventories send more mixed short-term signals.\nThe best way to reconcile these competing views is to treat the market as narrow rather than one-sided. In other words, copper does not need a very large deficit to stay expensive. If mine disruptions persist, if smelter margins remain under pressure, or if grid, EV and data-centre demand surprise on the upside, the market can remain tight enough to support elevated prices. By December 2026, the most defensible central case is still for the market to be either modestly in deficit or close to balance, rather than comfortably oversupplied.\nRegional developments\nChile remains at the centre of the global supply narrative. The country still has one of the largest visible pipelines of brownfield and greenfield copper projects, and recent ICAA reporting noted a group of thirteen Chilean projects worth roughly 14.8 billion USD expected to move through key milestones in 2026. Even so, lower grades, operational variability and cost inflation continue to complicate delivery, which is one reason analysts remain hesitant to assume that planned capacity will translate neatly into refined metal in the market.\nElsewhere, the same pattern holds. Latin America and Africa still offer the clearest avenues for medium-term supply growth, but infrastructure bottlenecks, permitting complexity and political risk continue to slow the pace at which new tonnage can be brought to market. In North America, policy settings are having a more immediate impact on regional pricing than on global supply itself, with tariff uncertainty and pre-emptive inventory movements helping sustain the premium in US copper benchmarks relative to the LME.\nOn the demand side, the market is becoming less dependent on a single geography or end-use category. Wood Mackenzie’s recent framing is especially useful here: copper demand is increasingly being driven by grid reinforcement, electric vehicles, renewable generation and the rapid buildout of AI-related data centres, which means demand is broadening beyond traditional construction and industrial channels. That shift strengthens the long-term demand case and helps explain why prices have remained resilient even when China-specific indicators have softened at times.\nPrice outlook\nThe price outlook still points to a market trading at structurally higher levels than in the pre-rally period, even if the path remains volatile. UBS has been among the more constructive voices, with market commentary pointing to copper reaching around 14,000 USD/t by September 2026 and potentially 14,500 USD/t by year-end if supply constraints persist and demand channels continue to broaden. J.P. Morgan’s published outlook is somewhat more conservative on annual averages, but it still supports the idea of elevated pricing through 2026 rather than a retracement back to historical norms.\nGoldman Sachs remains the main counterweight to the more bullish deficit narrative. Its work has emphasised that prices could hold closer to the 10,000–11,000 USD/t range if Chinese buying becomes more price-sensitive, if inventory dislocations ease, or if data-centre demand proves less intense than some bullish forecasts assume. Even this more cautious view, however, still implies a market pricing copper as a strategically scarce material rather than a cyclical commodity slipping back into surplus conditions.\nOver  the past twelve months copper rose from below 10,000 USD/t in mid-2025 to above 13,500 USD/t by June 2026, with record highs touched during the first half of this year before the current consolidation phase set in. That trajectory reinforces the market’s core message. Prices may continue to move unevenly week to week, but the combination of supply fragility and structurally stronger demand still argues for an elevated trading range into the end of 2026.\nConnectOre\nConnectOre remains relevant because the current market backdrop is no longer just about price; it is about execution. In a world where copper demand is increasingly shaped by electrification, digital infrastructure and decarbonisation, the value chain needs more practical pathways for improving mine productivity, reducing emissions and accelerating deployment of smarter processing and haulage systems.\nThat is where ConnectOre fits most clearly. By linking technology discussion with operational application, it helps translate strong market conditions into project-level capability across the sector. For Australian producers, suppliers and stakeholders, that role becomes more important as copper pricing stays elevated and expectations rise for both output growth and cleaner delivery across the industry.\n*Go to  https://connectore.org *\n","text":"\nCopper held near historic highs through the second week of July, but the market remained in consolidation mode rather than extending the sharp rally seen earlier in 2026. LME official prices in early July were still clustered around the low-13,000 USD/t range, while US benchmarks continued to trade at a premium, underlining the degree to which regional tightness, trade uncertainty and logistics continue to shape pricing across the market.\n\n**Market overview**\n\nThe immediate tone in copper is firmer than it is euphoric. LME copper data for 8 July showed official prices around 13,307–13,360 USD/t, and Westmetall daily data similarly placed cash copper close to 13,090–13,169 USD/t across the first full week of July. Trading Economics meanwhile reported COMEX-linked copper at 6.20 USD/lb on 9 July, equivalent to roughly 13,670 USD/t, confirming that US pricing remains above the LME and continues to reflect domestic scarcity and tariff-related positioning.\nThat matters because the current market is not simply reacting to one headline. It is trading a broader mix of structural electrification demand, intermittent mine and smelter constraints, and policy distortion in the US market. The result is a copper market that still appears fundamentally tight even after the cooling of momentum that followed the record highs seen in January and May.\n\n**Supply and demand**\n\nAcross the major houses, the broad argument remains that refined copper fundamentals are tight into the end of 2026, even though the exact balance differs by forecaster. UBS continues to frame the market as being in deficit, with commentary pointing to a 2026 refined shortfall of roughly 520,000 tonnes and global demand growth of about 2.8 percent outpacing refined supply growth closer to 1.7–2.2 percent. J.P. Morgan has also stayed constructive, with Reuters reporting that the bank expects the global refined deficit to widen to around 160,000 tonnes in 2026 and copper prices to average about 11,000 USD/t over that period.\n\nOther institutions remain more cautious, but not enough to overturn the broader picture of a market with very limited slack. Reuters reported in April that Goldman Sachs maintained a 2026 average copper price forecast of 12,650 USD/t while also projecting a surplus of around 490,000 tonnes under its base assumptions. The International Copper Study Group has similarly highlighted that the balance can shift quickly depending on assumptions for mine output and refined production, and Reuters noted in May that copper’s current price level appears to be pricing scarcity even when exchange spreads and inventories send more mixed short-term signals.\n\nThe best way to reconcile these competing views is to treat the market as narrow rather than one-sided. In other words, copper does not need a very large deficit to stay expensive. If mine disruptions persist, if smelter margins remain under pressure, or if grid, EV and data-centre demand surprise on the upside, the market can remain tight enough to support elevated prices. By December 2026, the most defensible central case is still for the market to be either modestly in deficit or close to balance, rather than comfortably oversupplied.\n\n**Regional developments**\n\nChile remains at the centre of the global supply narrative. The country still has one of the largest visible pipelines of brownfield and greenfield copper projects, and recent ICAA reporting noted a group of thirteen Chilean projects worth roughly 14.8 billion USD expected to move through key milestones in 2026. Even so, lower grades, operational variability and cost inflation continue to complicate delivery, which is one reason analysts remain hesitant to assume that planned capacity will translate neatly into refined metal in the market.\n\nElsewhere, the same pattern holds. Latin America and Africa still offer the clearest avenues for medium-term supply growth, but infrastructure bottlenecks, permitting complexity and political risk continue to slow the pace at which new tonnage can be brought to market. In North America, policy settings are having a more immediate impact on regional pricing than on global supply itself, with tariff uncertainty and pre-emptive inventory movements helping sustain the premium in US copper benchmarks relative to the LME.\n\nOn the demand side, the market is becoming less dependent on a single geography or end-use category. Wood Mackenzie’s recent framing is especially useful here: copper demand is increasingly being driven by grid reinforcement, electric vehicles, renewable generation and the rapid buildout of AI-related data centres, which means demand is broadening beyond traditional construction and industrial channels. That shift strengthens the long-term demand case and helps explain why prices have remained resilient even when China-specific indicators have softened at times.\n\n**Price outlook**\n\nThe price outlook still points to a market trading at structurally higher levels than in the pre-rally period, even if the path remains volatile. UBS has been among the more constructive voices, with market commentary pointing to copper reaching around 14,000 USD/t by September 2026 and potentially 14,500 USD/t by year-end if supply constraints persist and demand channels continue to broaden. J.P. Morgan’s published outlook is somewhat more conservative on annual averages, but it still supports the idea of elevated pricing through 2026 rather than a retracement back to historical norms.\n\nGoldman Sachs remains the main counterweight to the more bullish deficit narrative. Its work has emphasised that prices could hold closer to the 10,000–11,000 USD/t range if Chinese buying becomes more price-sensitive, if inventory dislocations ease, or if data-centre demand proves less intense than some bullish forecasts assume. Even this more cautious view, however, still implies a market pricing copper as a strategically scarce material rather than a cyclical commodity slipping back into surplus conditions.\n\nOver  the past twelve months copper rose from below 10,000 USD/t in mid-2025 to above 13,500 USD/t by June 2026, with record highs touched during the first half of this year before the current consolidation phase set in. That trajectory reinforces the market’s core message. Prices may continue to move unevenly week to week, but the combination of supply fragility and structurally stronger demand still argues for an elevated trading range into the end of 2026.\n\n**ConnectOre**\n\nConnectOre remains relevant because the current market backdrop is no longer just about price; it is about execution. In a world where copper demand is increasingly shaped by electrification, digital infrastructure and decarbonisation, the value chain needs more practical pathways for improving mine productivity, reducing emissions and accelerating deployment of smarter processing and haulage systems.\nThat is where ConnectOre fits most clearly. By linking technology discussion with operational application, it helps translate strong market conditions into project-level capability across the sector. For Australian producers, suppliers and stakeholders, that role becomes more important as copper pricing stays elevated and expectations rise for both output growth and cleaner delivery across the industry.\n\n**Go to  https://connectore.org **\n\n\n\n"},"openGraph":{"title":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 10 July 2026","description":{"plain":"Copper held near historic highs through the second week of July\n"},"image":{"thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1783664736/copper-connect/banner/cu-weekly-brief-10-07-2026_image__Cu_weekly_brief_10072026_vbgse3.webp"}}}},"intro":{"plain":"Copper held near historic highs through the second week of July\n","text":"Copper held near historic highs through the second week of 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All Rights Reserved\n"},"creator":null,"poweredBy":{"id":"65d2edadebf7bb9388ffafc8","name":"Shapeable","slug":"shapeable","url":"https://shapeable.ai","logo":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1674010034/platform/organisation/shapeable_logo__shapeable.png","type":"image/png","width":1174,"height":368},"logoInverted":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1729474494/copper-connect/organisation/shapeable_logoInverted__shapeable-logo-inverted_sdcfpk.png","type":"image/png","width":392,"height":118},"logoSubtle":null},"poweredByLabel":null,"poweredByContent":{"text":""},"explorerPage":{"name":"Explorer","title":null,"slug":"explorer","path":"/explorer"},"termsPage":null,"homePage":null,"knowledgeHubPage":{"name":"News","title":null,"slug":"news","path":"/news"},"privacyPolicyPage":{"name":"Privacy Policy","title":null,"slug":"privacy-policy","path":"/privacy-policy"},"summary":{"text":"A platform to accelerate industry-wide innovation through collective intelligence and collaborative action"},"thumbnail":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1713942350/copper-connect/site/copper-connect_thumbnail__site-thumb_bmicl8.png"},"openGraph":{"title":"ConnectOre","date":"2026-04-21T01:12:58.42","description":{"plain":"A platform to accelerate industry-wide innovation through collective intelligence and collaborative action\n"},"image":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1713942350/copper-connect/site/copper-connect_thumbnail__site-thumb_bmicl8.png","type":"image/png","thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1713942350/copper-connect/site/copper-connect_thumbnail__site-thumb_bmicl8.png"}}}},"termsAndConditions":{"text":""},"privacyPolicy":{"text":"At ConnectOre we respect your privacy. We want to ensure that you get the information, content, and experiences that matter most to you. ConnectOre is committed to protecting the privacy of its stakeholders, communities, and other contacts.\n\n## Scope\n\nThis privacy policy applies to all personal data processed by full-time and part-time employees, volunteers when acting on behalf of ConnectOre contractors and partners doing business on behalf of ConnectOre, as well as all legal entities, all operating locations in all countries, and all business processes conducted by ConnectOre.\n\n## Information Collected\n\n#### What information do we collect?\n\nConnectOre collects the following personal data in line with the use purposes explained in a subsequent section:\n\n  * Your name and contact details\n  * Online profile data/usage\n  * Contact information\n  * Social media profile information\n  * Education and professional information\n  * Registration and participation in ConnectOre events and activities \n  * Information about service usage\n  * Cookies\n  * Authentication data\n  * Location information\n  * Author and peer review information\n  * Other information you upload or provide to us\n\n#### How do we use your information?\n\nConnectOre uses (and, where specified, shares) your personal information for the following purposes:\n\n  * To provide support or other services. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with support or other services that you have ordered or requested. ConnectOre may also use your personal information to respond directly to your requests for information, including registrations for webinars, or other specific requests, or pass your contact information to the appropriate ConnectOre supplier or reseller for further follow-up related to your interests.\n  * To provide information based on your needs and respond to your requests. ConnectOre may use your personal information to provide you with notices of new product releases and service developments.\n  * To administer products. ConnectOre may contact you if you make use of (digital) products we offer, to confirm certain information (for example, that you did not experience problems in a download process). We may also use this information to confirm compliance with licensing and other terms of use and may share it with your company/institution.\n  * To assist in your participation in ConnectOre activities. ConnectOre will communicate with you, if you are participating in certain ConnectOre activities such as ConnectOre Summit, authoring or reviewing a ConnectOre article, or ConnectOre humanitarian activities. ConnectOre may send you information such as update messages related to those activities (such as but not limited to the event's content, and event logistics)\n  * To update you on relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities. ConnectOre may communicate with you regarding relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities.\n  * To protect ConnectOre content and services. We may use your information to prevent potentially illegal activities and to enforce our terms and conditions.\n  * To get feedback or input from you. In order to deliver products and services of most interest to our stakeholders, from time to time, we may ask you to provide us input and feedback (for example through surveys).\n\n#### How can you control your information?\n\nYou can control the information we have about you and how we use as follows:\n\n  * If you are a registered guest for ConnectOre Annual Summit 2021, any request for review, revise or correction of your personal data can be sent to john.fennell@copper.com.au specifying your request.\n\n#### Personal data about minors and children\n\nConnectOre does not knowingly collect data from or about children under 16 without the permission of parent(s)/guardian(s). If we learn that we have collected personal information from a child under 16, we will delete that information as quickly as possible. If you believe that we might have any information from or about a child under age 16, please contact us.\n\n#### How will you know if the Privacy Policy is changed?\n\nConnectOre may update its Privacy Policy from time to time. If we make any material changes you will be notified by means of a notice on our website prior on the date the change becomes effective. We encourage you to periodically review this page for the latest information on our privacy practices.\n\n## Technical And Regulatory Information\n\n#### Logging practices\n\nConnectOre automatically records the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of visitors. The IP address is a unique number assigned to every computer on the internet. Generally, an IP address changes each time you connect to the internet (it is a \"dynamic\" address). Note, however, that if you have a broadband connection, depending on your individual circumstance, the IP address that we collect may contain information that could be deemed identifiable. This is because, with some broadband connections, your IP address doesn't change (it is \"static\") and could be associated with your personal computer.\n\nAs well as recording the IP addresses of users, ConnectOre may also keep track of sites that users visited immediately prior to visiting ConnectOre's website and the search terms they used to find it. We keep track of the pages visited on ConnectOre's website, the amount of time spent on those pages and the types of searches done on them. Your searches remain confidential and anonymous. ConnectOre uses this information only for statistical purposes to find out which pages users find most useful and to improve the website.\nConnectOre also captures and stores information that you transmit. This may include:\n\n  * Browser/Device type/version\n  * Operating system used\n  * Media Access Control (MAC) address\n  * Date and time of the server request\n  * Volume of data transferred\n\n#### External links behaviour\n\nSome of the links on ConnectOre's websites link to other sites created and maintained by other public- and/or private-sector organizations. ConnectOre provides these links solely for your information and convenience. When you transfer to an outside website, you are leaving ConnectOre domain, and ConnectOre's information management policies no longer apply. ConnectOre encourages you to read the privacy statement of each external website that you visit before you provide any personal data.\n\n#### Cookies and web beacons\n\nCookies and web beacons are electronic placeholders that are placed on your device by websites to track your individual movements on that website over time. ConnectOre uses both session-based cookies (which last only for the duration of the user's session) and persistent cookies (which remain on your device and provide information about the session you are in and waits for the next time you use that site again).\n\nThese cookies and web beacons provide useful information to ConnectOre, enabling us to recognize repeat users, facilitate the user's access to and use of our sites, allows us to track usage behavior, and to balance the usage of our websites on all ConnectOre web servers.\nTracking cookies, third-party cookies, and other technologies such as web beacons may be used to process additional information, enable non-core functionalities on ConnectOre website and enable third-party functions (such as a social media \"share\" link). We may also include web beacons and other similar technology in promotional email messages to determine whether the messages have been opened.\n\n#### Do Not Track (DNT)\n\nThe online advertising industry has self-regulatory initiatives designed to provide consumers a choice in the types of ads they may see online and to conveniently opt-out from online behavioral ads served by some or all of the companies participating in these programs. Our websites do not respond to DNT consumer browser settings.\n\n#### Responses to legal requests\n\nConnectOre reserves the right to share your information to respond to duly authorized information requests of governmental authorities or where required by law.\n\n#### Your data rights\n\nConnectOre complies with all applicable data privacy laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Under these laws and regulations, you may have certain rights to your data. Should you wish to exercise any of these rights, please send an email request to john.fennell@copper.com.au with \"Data Privacy Request'' in the subject line and in the email please identify the specific privacy right you request assistance with. Please note additional information may be requested prior to fulfilling a request and that ConnectOre reserves the right to charge a fee, where permitted, to cover the cost of certain requests.\n\n#### How do I contact you if there is an issue?\nIf you have any questions or concerns about this Privacy Policy or about the use of your personal information, please feel free to contact us by email at john.fennell@copper.com.au"},"welcomeUrl":"https://connectore.org/app/welcome","welcomeTitle":"Welcome to ConnectOre and thanks for joining us! 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