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COMEX July 2026 copper was quoted around 6.1060 USD/lb, equivalent to about 13.44 USD/kg, while Trading Economics showed copper at 6.12 USD/lb on 2 July, or roughly 13.49 USD/kg. Taken together, these benchmarks suggest the market remains tight and well supported, with regional dislocations, tariff expectations and logistics still influencing the spread between LME and US prices.\nSupply and demand\nThe supply-demand balance still looks fundamentally tight. UBS estimates a 2026 global refined copper deficit of around 520,000 tonnes, with demand growth of about 2.8% expected to outpace refined supply growth of roughly 1.7%. That imbalance helps explain why even modest pullbacks in copper prices have so far been shallow and short-lived.\nSupply constraints are also becoming more complex. Analysts continue to point to mine disruptions, slow project delivery, concentrate shortages and smelter margin pressure as factors limiting the industry’s ability to respond quickly to stronger demand. In that context, the market’s current consolidation looks more like a pause within a structurally tight environment than a signal of easing fundamentals.\nRegional developments\nChile remains central to the global copper supply story. A pipeline of thirteen Chilean copper projects worth an estimated 14.8 billion USD is expected to hit key milestones in 2026, reinforcing Chile’s importance to medium-term supply growth. At the same time, reports of lower production at some major operations and cost pressures across the sector highlight that supply growth will not be smooth or immediate.\nMore broadly, supply growth elsewhere still appears insufficient to fully close the gap. New output in Latin America and Africa offers longer-term support, but infrastructure constraints, project complexity and permitting risk mean these regions are unlikely to deliver rapid relief to the current market balance. That leaves copper pricing sensitive to any further operational disruption or stronger-than-expected demand pulse.\nWood Mackenzie: demand in an electrifying and digitising world\nWood Mackenzie’s June discussion frames the current copper story as a structural demand shift rather than a standard commodity cycle. The firm highlights expanding electricity networks, growth in electric vehicles and renewables, and the rapid buildout of AI-related data centres as the main drivers of a period of structurally higher copper demand. From a global perspective, that matters because it broadens the sources of demand growth beyond traditional construction and manufacturing, making copper consumption more deeply tied to the architecture of the energy transition and the digital economy.\nThe discussion also stresses that the market should be viewed through a wider lens than China alone. Wood Mackenzie points to the relative contribution of EVs, renewables, grid expansion and data centres, while also asking whether supply can keep pace if these demand channels accelerate together.\n For the copper market, that reinforces the idea that current high prices are not simply a short-term response to disruption, but part of a broader repricing around long-duration strategic demand.\nPrice outlook\nLooking ahead, most analysts still expect copper to remain historically strong through the second half of 2026, even if price action stays uneven. UBS has projected 14,000 USD/t by September 2026, while Goldman Sachs has argued for a softer 2026 range around 10,000–11,000 USD/t on average, showing that views differ mainly on timing rather than on the broader strategic importance of the metal.\n The common thread is that structural demand and limited supply flexibility should keep downside relatively supported unless global macro conditions deteriorate sharply.\nConnectOre\nConnectOre remains a useful bridge between market themes and technology deployment across the copper value chain. In the context of a structurally tighter market, platforms that connect operators with practical insights on electrification, mine decarbonisation, processing innovation and operational efficiency become more relevant, particularly as the industry seeks to convert strong pricing into durable project performance.\nGo to https://connectore.org\n","text":"**Market overview**\n\nCopper remained elevated through the first days of July, but the market continued to consolidate rather than extend the sharp rally seen earlier in the quarter. LME official prices for 1–2 July sat around 13,169–13,208 USD/t, equivalent to roughly 13.17–13.21 USD/kg, showing that prices are still near historically high levels even as momentum has cooled. \n\nCross-market pricing continues to show a premium in the US market. COMEX July 2026 copper was quoted around 6.1060 USD/lb, equivalent to about 13.44 USD/kg, while Trading Economics showed copper at 6.12 USD/lb on 2 July, or roughly 13.49 USD/kg. Taken together, these benchmarks suggest the market remains tight and well supported, with regional dislocations, tariff expectations and logistics still influencing the spread between LME and US prices.\n\n**Supply and demand**\n\nThe supply-demand balance still looks fundamentally tight. UBS estimates a 2026 global refined copper deficit of around 520,000 tonnes, with demand growth of about 2.8% expected to outpace refined supply growth of roughly 1.7%. That imbalance helps explain why even modest pullbacks in copper prices have so far been shallow and short-lived.\n\nSupply constraints are also becoming more complex. Analysts continue to point to mine disruptions, slow project delivery, concentrate shortages and smelter margin pressure as factors limiting the industry’s ability to respond quickly to stronger demand. In that context, the market’s current consolidation looks more like a pause within a structurally tight environment than a signal of easing fundamentals.\n\n**Regional developments**\n\nChile remains central to the global copper supply story. A pipeline of thirteen Chilean copper projects worth an estimated 14.8 billion USD is expected to hit key milestones in 2026, reinforcing Chile’s importance to medium-term supply growth. At the same time, reports of lower production at some major operations and cost pressures across the sector highlight that supply growth will not be smooth or immediate.\n\nMore broadly, supply growth elsewhere still appears insufficient to fully close the gap. New output in Latin America and Africa offers longer-term support, but infrastructure constraints, project complexity and permitting risk mean these regions are unlikely to deliver rapid relief to the current market balance. That leaves copper pricing sensitive to any further operational disruption or stronger-than-expected demand pulse.\n\n**Wood Mackenzie: demand in an electrifying and digitising world**\n\nWood Mackenzie’s June discussion frames the current copper story as a structural demand shift rather than a standard commodity cycle. The firm highlights expanding electricity networks, growth in electric vehicles and renewables, and the rapid buildout of AI-related data centres as the main drivers of a period of structurally higher copper demand. From a global perspective, that matters because it broadens the sources of demand growth beyond traditional construction and manufacturing, making copper consumption more deeply tied to the architecture of the energy transition and the digital economy.\n\nThe discussion also stresses that the market should be viewed through a wider lens than China alone. Wood Mackenzie points to the relative contribution of EVs, renewables, grid expansion and data centres, while also asking whether supply can keep pace if these demand channels accelerate together.\n\n For the copper market, that reinforces the idea that current high prices are not simply a short-term response to disruption, but part of a broader repricing around long-duration strategic demand.\n \n**Price outlook**\n\nLooking ahead, most analysts still expect copper to remain historically strong through the second half of 2026, even if price action stays uneven. UBS has projected 14,000 USD/t by September 2026, while Goldman Sachs has argued for a softer 2026 range around 10,000–11,000 USD/t on average, showing that views differ mainly on timing rather than on the broader strategic importance of the metal.\n\n The common thread is that structural demand and limited supply flexibility should keep downside relatively supported unless global macro conditions deteriorate sharply.\n \n**ConnectOre**\n\nConnectOre remains a useful bridge between market themes and technology deployment across the copper value chain. In the context of a structurally tighter market, platforms that connect operators with practical insights on electrification, mine decarbonisation, processing innovation and operational efficiency become more relevant, particularly as the industry seeks to convert strong pricing into durable project performance.\nGo to https://connectore.org\n\n\n"},"openGraph":{"title":null,"description":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief - 3rd July 2026\n"},"image":{"thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1783042404/copper-connect/banner/cu-weekly-brief-03072026_image__Cu_Weekly_Brief_image_03072026_ile5vf.png"}}}},"intro":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief - 3rd July 2026\n","text":"Copper Weekly Brief - 3rd July 2026"},"outro":{"id":"6a471246d92d0c7f913ab70e_outro","text":""},"videos":[],"imageAssets":[],"organisations":[],"people":[],"embeds":{"citations":[],"pages":[],"people":[],"imageAssets":[]},"banners":[{"id":"6a471183d92d0c7f913ab70b","name":"Cu Weekly Brief 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We may also use this information to confirm compliance with licensing and other terms of use and may share it with your company/institution.\n  * To assist in your participation in ConnectOre activities. ConnectOre will communicate with you, if you are participating in certain ConnectOre activities such as ConnectOre Summit, authoring or reviewing a ConnectOre article, or ConnectOre humanitarian activities. ConnectOre may send you information such as update messages related to those activities (such as but not limited to the event's content, and event logistics)\n  * To update you on relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities. ConnectOre may communicate with you regarding relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities.\n  * To protect ConnectOre content and services. We may use your information to prevent potentially illegal activities and to enforce our terms and conditions.\n  * To get feedback or input from you. In order to deliver products and services of most interest to our stakeholders, from time to time, we may ask you to provide us input and feedback (for example through surveys).\n\n#### How can you control your information?\n\nYou can control the information we have about you and how we use as follows:\n\n  * If you are a registered guest for ConnectOre Annual Summit 2021, any request for review, revise or correction of your personal data can be sent to john.fennell@copper.com.au specifying your request.\n\n#### Personal data about minors and children\n\nConnectOre does not knowingly collect data from or about children under 16 without the permission of parent(s)/guardian(s). If we learn that we have collected personal information from a child under 16, we will delete that information as quickly as possible. If you believe that we might have any information from or about a child under age 16, please contact us.\n\n#### How will you know if the Privacy Policy is changed?\n\nConnectOre may update its Privacy Policy from time to time. If we make any material changes you will be notified by means of a notice on our website prior on the date the change becomes effective. We encourage you to periodically review this page for the latest information on our privacy practices.\n\n## Technical And Regulatory Information\n\n#### Logging practices\n\nConnectOre automatically records the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of visitors. The IP address is a unique number assigned to every computer on the internet. Generally, an IP address changes each time you connect to the internet (it is a \"dynamic\" address). Note, however, that if you have a broadband connection, depending on your individual circumstance, the IP address that we collect may contain information that could be deemed identifiable. This is because, with some broadband connections, your IP address doesn't change (it is \"static\") and could be associated with your personal computer.\n\nAs well as recording the IP addresses of users, ConnectOre may also keep track of sites that users visited immediately prior to visiting ConnectOre's website and the search terms they used to find it. We keep track of the pages visited on ConnectOre's website, the amount of time spent on those pages and the types of searches done on them. Your searches remain confidential and anonymous. ConnectOre uses this information only for statistical purposes to find out which pages users find most useful and to improve the website.\nConnectOre also captures and stores information that you transmit. This may include:\n\n  * Browser/Device type/version\n  * Operating system used\n  * Media Access Control (MAC) address\n  * Date and time of the server request\n  * Volume of data transferred\n\n#### External links behaviour\n\nSome of the links on ConnectOre's websites link to other sites created and maintained by other public- and/or private-sector organizations. ConnectOre provides these links solely for your information and convenience. When you transfer to an outside website, you are leaving ConnectOre domain, and ConnectOre's information management policies no longer apply. ConnectOre encourages you to read the privacy statement of each external website that you visit before you provide any personal data.\n\n#### Cookies and web beacons\n\nCookies and web beacons are electronic placeholders that are placed on your device by websites to track your individual movements on that website over time. ConnectOre uses both session-based cookies (which last only for the duration of the user's session) and persistent cookies (which remain on your device and provide information about the session you are in and waits for the next time you use that site again).\n\nThese cookies and web beacons provide useful information to ConnectOre, enabling us to recognize repeat users, facilitate the user's access to and use of our sites, allows us to track usage behavior, and to balance the usage of our websites on all ConnectOre web servers.\nTracking cookies, third-party cookies, and other technologies such as web beacons may be used to process additional information, enable non-core functionalities on ConnectOre website and enable third-party functions (such as a social media \"share\" link). We may also include web beacons and other similar technology in promotional email messages to determine whether the messages have been opened.\n\n#### Do Not Track (DNT)\n\nThe online advertising industry has self-regulatory initiatives designed to provide consumers a choice in the types of ads they may see online and to conveniently opt-out from online behavioral ads served by some or all of the companies participating in these programs. Our websites do not respond to DNT consumer browser settings.\n\n#### Responses to legal requests\n\nConnectOre reserves the right to share your information to respond to duly authorized information requests of governmental authorities or where required by law.\n\n#### Your data rights\n\nConnectOre complies with all applicable data privacy laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Under these laws and regulations, you may have certain rights to your data. Should you wish to exercise any of these rights, please send an email request to john.fennell@copper.com.au with \"Data Privacy Request'' in the subject line and in the email please identify the specific privacy right you request assistance with. Please note additional information may be requested prior to fulfilling a request and that ConnectOre reserves the right to charge a fee, where permitted, to cover the cost of certain requests.\n\n#### How do I contact you if there is an issue?\nIf you have any questions or concerns about this Privacy Policy or about the use of your personal information, please feel free to contact us by email at john.fennell@copper.com.au"},"welcomeUrl":"https://connectore.org/app/welcome","welcomeTitle":"Welcome to ConnectOre and thanks for joining us! 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