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That is keeping copper volatile, but not weak.\nMacro backdrop\nThe main macro issue remains uncertainty rather than outright demand destruction. Concerns around global growth, higher energy costs and geopolitical tension in the Middle East have weighed on sentiment, yet copper has held up because investors still see it as one of the clearest medium term beneficiaries of grid investment, electrification and data centre expansion.\nUS trade policy is also still distorting price signals. Reuters reports that while tariffs have already been applied to some copper products, refined copper remains outside the current regime, leaving the market focused on whether Washington eventually extends measures further into the value chain. That policy uncertainty continues to support the COMEX premium over LME.\nSupply and demand\nThe broad market message is not one of immediate shortage, but nor is it one of comfort. Exchange inventories remain relatively high in aggregate, yet the market still appears uneasy about how much metal is truly available to meet demand in the right regions and at the right time.\nThat helps explain why prices remain historically strong even though some forecasters still see modest surpluses in 2026. Goldman Sachs has maintained a 2026 copper price forecast around 12,650 USD/t, while Morgan Stanley’s published base case is lower at 10,650 USD/t, with bullish cases still extending into the high 12,000s. Taken together with broader market commentary, a reasonable consensus band for planning remains around 11.0–12.5 USD/kg, or 11,000–12,500 USD/t, with upside risk if policy or supply disruption intensifies.\nRegional developments\nChile remains the most important regional story. On one hand, Anglo American and Codelco have finalised a joint mine plan for Los Bronces and Andina that is expected to unlock around 2.7 million tonnes of additional copper over 21 years, showing how incumbents are pursuing brownfield optimisation rather than relying only on greenfield discoveries. On the other, permitting remains a live constraint after a Chilean court annulled a key environmental permit tied to the Collahuasi expansion’s desalination infrastructure.\nAfrica continues to offer medium term growth potential, particularly through the central African copperbelt, but investors are still discounting delivery risk related to infrastructure, power reliability and sovereign settings. In other words, Africa matters to the long term supply story, but it is not yet enough to remove market tightness concerns.\nAustralian spotlight\nFor Australia, the more interesting theme is not a flood of new supply but smarter project design and operational competitiveness. One useful example is the Whim Creek redevelopment in Western Australia, which has been highlighted through ICAA’s Copper Map as a project combining ore sorting, sulphide flotation and bioleaching to improve recovery while lowering emissions intensity. That aligns well with the broader Roadmap to Zero narrative: Australian copper projects are increasingly being judged not only on grade and scale, but on carbon, water and processing efficiency as well.\nPrice outlook\nThe market still looks firm into the second half of 2026, but less one way than it did during the May surge. A practical base case is for copper to remain high by historical standards, with LME prices likely to trade around the low to mid 13 USD/kg range near term and institutional 2026 forecast averages still clustering closer to 11–12.5 USD/kg over a full year basis.\nFor industry participants, the key takeaway is that copper is still being priced as a strategic metal with macro sensitivity, not just as another cyclical industrial input. That should keep the market supported, even if the next few weeks are driven more by macro headlines and tariff developments than by a fresh shift in physical fundamentals.\nConnectOre\nConnectOre is ICAA’s digital platform for technology insights, project case studies and emerging research across the copper value chain, with a particular focus on zero-emissions mining and processing solutions. By combining member-contributed knowledge with its Copper AI engine, it is intended to shorten the path from innovation to deployment at mine and plant level.\nGo to https://connectore.org\n","text":"\n**Market overview**\n\nCopper remains elevated but has moved into consolidation rather than fresh breakout mode heading into the end of June. LME official prices for 25 June were around 13,181–13,285 USD/t, equivalent to about 13.18–13.29 USD/kg, while COMEX has continued to trade at a premium to London, reflecting US tariff positioning and inventory reshuffling.\n\nReuters and Bloomberg both suggest the market is balancing two opposing forces: softer macro sentiment and still tight physical expectations. That is keeping copper volatile, but not weak.\n\n**Macro backdrop**\n\nThe main macro issue remains uncertainty rather than outright demand destruction. Concerns around global growth, higher energy costs and geopolitical tension in the Middle East have weighed on sentiment, yet copper has held up because investors still see it as one of the clearest medium term beneficiaries of grid investment, electrification and data centre expansion.\nUS trade policy is also still distorting price signals. Reuters reports that while tariffs have already been applied to some copper products, refined copper remains outside the current regime, leaving the market focused on whether Washington eventually extends measures further into the value chain. That policy uncertainty continues to support the COMEX premium over LME.\nSupply and demand\n\nThe broad market message is not one of immediate shortage, but nor is it one of comfort. Exchange inventories remain relatively high in aggregate, yet the market still appears uneasy about how much metal is truly available to meet demand in the right regions and at the right time.\n\nThat helps explain why prices remain historically strong even though some forecasters still see modest surpluses in 2026. Goldman Sachs has maintained a 2026 copper price forecast around 12,650 USD/t, while Morgan Stanley’s published base case is lower at 10,650 USD/t, with bullish cases still extending into the high 12,000s. Taken together with broader market commentary, a reasonable consensus band for planning remains around 11.0–12.5 USD/kg, or 11,000–12,500 USD/t, with upside risk if policy or supply disruption intensifies.\n\n**Regional developments**\n\nChile remains the most important regional story. On one hand, Anglo American and Codelco have finalised a joint mine plan for Los Bronces and Andina that is expected to unlock around 2.7 million tonnes of additional copper over 21 years, showing how incumbents are pursuing brownfield optimisation rather than relying only on greenfield discoveries. On the other, permitting remains a live constraint after a Chilean court annulled a key environmental permit tied to the Collahuasi expansion’s desalination infrastructure.\n\nAfrica continues to offer medium term growth potential, particularly through the central African copperbelt, but investors are still discounting delivery risk related to infrastructure, power reliability and sovereign settings. In other words, Africa matters to the long term supply story, but it is not yet enough to remove market tightness concerns.\n\n**Australian spotlight**\n\nFor Australia, the more interesting theme is not a flood of new supply but smarter project design and operational competitiveness. One useful example is the Whim Creek redevelopment in Western Australia, which has been highlighted through ICAA’s Copper Map as a project combining ore sorting, sulphide flotation and bioleaching to improve recovery while lowering emissions intensity. That aligns well with the broader Roadmap to Zero narrative: Australian copper projects are increasingly being judged not only on grade and scale, but on carbon, water and processing efficiency as well.\n\n**Price outlook**\n\nThe market still looks firm into the second half of 2026, but less one way than it did during the May surge. A practical base case is for copper to remain high by historical standards, with LME prices likely to trade around the low to mid 13 USD/kg range near term and institutional 2026 forecast averages still clustering closer to 11–12.5 USD/kg over a full year basis.\n\nFor industry participants, the key takeaway is that copper is still being priced as a strategic metal with macro sensitivity, not just as another cyclical industrial input. That should keep the market supported, even if the next few weeks are driven more by macro headlines and tariff developments than by a fresh shift in physical fundamentals.\n \n**ConnectOre**\n\nConnectOre is ICAA’s digital platform for technology insights, project case studies and emerging research across the copper value chain, with a particular focus on zero-emissions mining and processing solutions. By combining member-contributed knowledge with its Copper AI engine, it is intended to shorten the path from innovation to deployment at mine and plant level.\n\nGo to https://connectore.org\n\n"},"openGraph":{"title":null,"description":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 26 June 2026\n"},"image":{"thumbnails":{"full":{"url":"https://res.cloudinary.com/shapeable/image/upload/v1782444189/copper-connect/banner/cu-weekly-brief-26-06-2026_image__Cu_Brief_image_26062026_naqc8r.png"}}}},"intro":{"plain":"Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 26 June 2026\n","text":"**Copper Weekly Brief — Week Ending 26 June 2026**"},"outro":{"id":"6a3df12d935257c59e85acc4_outro","text":""},"videos":[],"imageAssets":[],"organisations":[],"people":[],"embeds":{"citations":[],"pages":[],"people":[],"imageAssets":[]},"banners":[{"id":"6a3df0b4935257c59e85acc1","name":"Cu Weekly Brief 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We want to ensure that you get the information, content, and experiences that matter most to you. ConnectOre is committed to protecting the privacy of its stakeholders, communities, and other contacts.\n\n## Scope\n\nThis privacy policy applies to all personal data processed by full-time and part-time employees, volunteers when acting on behalf of ConnectOre contractors and partners doing business on behalf of ConnectOre, as well as all legal entities, all operating locations in all countries, and all business processes conducted by ConnectOre.\n\n## Information Collected\n\n#### What information do we collect?\n\nConnectOre collects the following personal data in line with the use purposes explained in a subsequent section:\n\n  * Your name and contact details\n  * Online profile data/usage\n  * Contact information\n  * Social media profile information\n  * Education and professional information\n  * Registration and participation in ConnectOre events and activities \n  * Information about service usage\n  * Cookies\n  * Authentication data\n  * Location information\n  * Author and peer review information\n  * Other information you upload or provide to us\n\n#### How do we use your information?\n\nConnectOre uses (and, where specified, shares) your personal information for the following purposes:\n\n  * To provide support or other services. 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We may also use this information to confirm compliance with licensing and other terms of use and may share it with your company/institution.\n  * To assist in your participation in ConnectOre activities. ConnectOre will communicate with you, if you are participating in certain ConnectOre activities such as ConnectOre Summit, authoring or reviewing a ConnectOre article, or ConnectOre humanitarian activities. ConnectOre may send you information such as update messages related to those activities (such as but not limited to the event's content, and event logistics)\n  * To update you on relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities. ConnectOre may communicate with you regarding relevant ConnectOre events and opportunities.\n  * To protect ConnectOre content and services. We may use your information to prevent potentially illegal activities and to enforce our terms and conditions.\n  * To get feedback or input from you. In order to deliver products and services of most interest to our stakeholders, from time to time, we may ask you to provide us input and feedback (for example through surveys).\n\n#### How can you control your information?\n\nYou can control the information we have about you and how we use as follows:\n\n  * If you are a registered guest for ConnectOre Annual Summit 2021, any request for review, revise or correction of your personal data can be sent to john.fennell@copper.com.au specifying your request.\n\n#### Personal data about minors and children\n\nConnectOre does not knowingly collect data from or about children under 16 without the permission of parent(s)/guardian(s). If we learn that we have collected personal information from a child under 16, we will delete that information as quickly as possible. If you believe that we might have any information from or about a child under age 16, please contact us.\n\n#### How will you know if the Privacy Policy is changed?\n\nConnectOre may update its Privacy Policy from time to time. If we make any material changes you will be notified by means of a notice on our website prior on the date the change becomes effective. We encourage you to periodically review this page for the latest information on our privacy practices.\n\n## Technical And Regulatory Information\n\n#### Logging practices\n\nConnectOre automatically records the Internet Protocol (IP) addresses of visitors. The IP address is a unique number assigned to every computer on the internet. Generally, an IP address changes each time you connect to the internet (it is a \"dynamic\" address). Note, however, that if you have a broadband connection, depending on your individual circumstance, the IP address that we collect may contain information that could be deemed identifiable. This is because, with some broadband connections, your IP address doesn't change (it is \"static\") and could be associated with your personal computer.\n\nAs well as recording the IP addresses of users, ConnectOre may also keep track of sites that users visited immediately prior to visiting ConnectOre's website and the search terms they used to find it. We keep track of the pages visited on ConnectOre's website, the amount of time spent on those pages and the types of searches done on them. Your searches remain confidential and anonymous. ConnectOre uses this information only for statistical purposes to find out which pages users find most useful and to improve the website.\nConnectOre also captures and stores information that you transmit. This may include:\n\n  * Browser/Device type/version\n  * Operating system used\n  * Media Access Control (MAC) address\n  * Date and time of the server request\n  * Volume of data transferred\n\n#### External links behaviour\n\nSome of the links on ConnectOre's websites link to other sites created and maintained by other public- and/or private-sector organizations. ConnectOre provides these links solely for your information and convenience. When you transfer to an outside website, you are leaving ConnectOre domain, and ConnectOre's information management policies no longer apply. ConnectOre encourages you to read the privacy statement of each external website that you visit before you provide any personal data.\n\n#### Cookies and web beacons\n\nCookies and web beacons are electronic placeholders that are placed on your device by websites to track your individual movements on that website over time. ConnectOre uses both session-based cookies (which last only for the duration of the user's session) and persistent cookies (which remain on your device and provide information about the session you are in and waits for the next time you use that site again).\n\nThese cookies and web beacons provide useful information to ConnectOre, enabling us to recognize repeat users, facilitate the user's access to and use of our sites, allows us to track usage behavior, and to balance the usage of our websites on all ConnectOre web servers.\nTracking cookies, third-party cookies, and other technologies such as web beacons may be used to process additional information, enable non-core functionalities on ConnectOre website and enable third-party functions (such as a social media \"share\" link). We may also include web beacons and other similar technology in promotional email messages to determine whether the messages have been opened.\n\n#### Do Not Track (DNT)\n\nThe online advertising industry has self-regulatory initiatives designed to provide consumers a choice in the types of ads they may see online and to conveniently opt-out from online behavioral ads served by some or all of the companies participating in these programs. Our websites do not respond to DNT consumer browser settings.\n\n#### Responses to legal requests\n\nConnectOre reserves the right to share your information to respond to duly authorized information requests of governmental authorities or where required by law.\n\n#### Your data rights\n\nConnectOre complies with all applicable data privacy laws and regulations including, but not limited to, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). Under these laws and regulations, you may have certain rights to your data. Should you wish to exercise any of these rights, please send an email request to john.fennell@copper.com.au with \"Data Privacy Request'' in the subject line and in the email please identify the specific privacy right you request assistance with. Please note additional information may be requested prior to fulfilling a request and that ConnectOre reserves the right to charge a fee, where permitted, to cover the cost of certain requests.\n\n#### How do I contact you if there is an issue?\nIf you have any questions or concerns about this Privacy Policy or about the use of your personal information, please feel free to contact us by email at john.fennell@copper.com.au"},"welcomeUrl":"https://connectore.org/app/welcome","welcomeTitle":"Welcome to ConnectOre and thanks for joining us! 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